Alameen Templeton
Open conflict between Israel and Lebanon’s Hezbollah will be the most devastating war the Nazi state has ever experienced since is blood-stained inception, an exhaustive, three-year study says.
The report from Israel’s only independent university, Reichman University in Tel Aviv, was drawn up by hundreds of experts and is probably the most exhaustive interrogation of Israel’s readiness for a real war. It makes grim reading for the country’s right-wing advocates who are egging on the genocide in Gaza.
Unprecedented destruction and bloodshed would surpass the occupation’s worst fears, says the report which was revealed by Israeli news site, Calcalist.
The report examines the readiness of the Israeli forces and the home front for a multi-front war.
Crucially, the last section of the six-part study, dealing with a potential, pre-emptive strike by Israel against Hezbollah was not released. Calcalist says this may indicate possible concealment or manipulation.
The report has been presented to senior Israeli officials, including former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, Security Minister Moshe Ya’alon, and former Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi.
The report suggests that the war will be overwhelmingly intense, with Hezbollah launching opening barrages of between 2,500 to 3,000 missiles a day. This would include inaccurate rocket artillery and high-precision long-range missiles.
Hezbollah would unleash massive salvos on specific areas, like strategic Israeli military bases or cities in the key “Gush Dan” region.
The relentless assault is projected to persist day after day, extending over three weeks. The report warns the resulting destruction will be unprecedented, accompanied by thousands of casualties on both the front lines and among Israeli settlers, sparking panic and disarray.
One of Hezbollah’s primary objectives will be to undermine air defense systems. Precision ammunition and low-flying aerial devices, including drones, gliders, and cruise missiles, are expected to target Iron Dome batteries.
The pace of the barrage will deplete reserves of interception missiles for the Iron Dome and David’s Sling within the early days of the conflict. The Israeli occupation could then be exposed to thousands of rocket and missile attacks without a defensive mechanism.
Simultaneously, Hezbollah aims to sabotage the Israeli Air Force and limit its capabilities with heavy precision missiles directed at takeoff runways to hinder repair efforts and aerial offensives.
Intensive fire will target hangars storing military aircraft and precision missiles with explosive warheads will strike sensitive infrastructure, including power stations, electricity-related facilities, desalination plants, and transportation facilities in Haifa and “Ashdod”, the report underlined.
The report warns a swarm of dozens of suicide drones flying at very low altitudes would target critical assets within occupied Palestine. These include weapons facilities, emergency storage facilities for the Israeli occupation forces, and hospitals that would be needed for the unprecedented casualties that would be incurred.
Critical transportation infrastructure, communication channels, and sites related to government ministries and local authorities are expected to face widespread cyberattacks, posing a serious risk of disrupting the economy.
Chaos is expected to escalate as Hezbollah sends hundreds of fighters from the Radwan force into Israeli territories to gain control of settlements along the border area with Lebanon and strategic military sites in the northern region.
This would force the Israeli army to divert its troops from Lebanon to counter the imminent threat.
The Israeli public is anticipated to face challenges in receiving updated and reliable information about the unfolding situation, leading to a loss of trust in official sources.
The potential for panic and fear is expected to intensify due to the significant number of casualties, extensive damage, disruptions in power and water supply, delays in the arrival of rescue and relief forces, and difficulties in obtaining food and medicine.
Hezbollah plans to exacerbate panic and confusion through continuous psychological warfare on social media networks to deepen internal divisions. Those seeking to escape may discover that air links with the world have been severed.
Hezbollah will not be alone. Resistance factions in Syria and Iraq, Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad in Gaza, as well as Ansar Allah in Yemen, are expected to contribute to a “violent and extensive upheaval”.
The upheaval will include disruptions in the West Bank and among Palestinians of ’48, with rioting in mixed cities, challenges in war perception for the public, and the lowering of expectations from the army and rescue forces.
The report concludes by warning the Israeli Air Force and intelligence formations might not prevent the majority of missile strikes from reaching occupied Palestinian territories.
Similarly, the assumption that extensive attacks on Lebanon would force Hezbollah to cease fire is expected to be inaccurate.
Another report in late January saw experts admitting Hezbollah possessed the capability to launch approximately a thousand precisio-guided and “dumb” missiles at ‘Tel Aviv’ within a two-hour operational window.
Israeli officials admitted Hezbollah, has succeeded in emptying the settlements in northern occupied Palestine without the use of any force. They say the Israeli Occupation Forces (IOF) commander of the northern region has received instructions not to escalate confrontations with the Lebanese resistance.
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